Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb

This book promises but doesn't deliver. It almost explains why the brain misunderstands probability. Almost explains Popper, Hume, option trading, stoicism, epicureanism. Almost explains Soros, Monte Carlo engines, chaos theory, black swans. Almost explains because answers are plagued by randomness, emotion and irrationality, and opinions change. Perhaps he is thoroughly post-modern. For similar style with much more substance, stick with Berlinski.

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